Core Ideas
Core Ideas
The conceptual vocabulary behind the model: priors, likelihoods, posteriors, uncertainty, objective evidence, perceived evidence, assigned credence, and rationality types.
Section Contents
Organized reading blocks
21 mapped pages
Credence Vocabulary
The probability and confidence terms used throughout the project.
Two-Gap Model
The formal values that separate evidence access, evidence perception, and assigned confidence.
Failure and Repair
Diagnostic concepts for identifying and repairing misalignment.
Related Paths
Start Here
A guided entry into credences, evidence, confidence, Bayesian updating, and the difference between being mistaken and being epistemically inconsistent.
2 clusters / 7 pages
Bayes Theorem
A dedicated walkthrough of Bayes theorem, its formula, its mental parts, and how scientists use it to revise confidence.
2 clusters / 9 pages
Interactive Lab
The live model, scenario presets, visual legend, comparison tools, and an interpretation guide for reading epistemic states.
3 clusters / 11 pages