# Credencing Scenario Worksheet

## Claim

Write one specific claim:

## Estimates

- Objective Evidence (E0):
- Perceived Evidence (EP):
- Assigned Credence (CA):
- Deep Rationality (SD):

## Gap Diagnosis

- Is the main gap E0 to EP?
- Is the main gap EP to CA?
- Are both gaps active?

## Evidence Notes

- What evidence supports the claim?
- What evidence counts against it?
- What alternative explanations remain live?
- What would change your confidence?

## Repair Plan

- Better evidence needed:
- Better reasoning tool needed:
- Motivated pressure to name:
- Next small update test: